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 Thema: Der Brexit ( Wird das UK die EU verlassen? )
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Randbauer

AUP Randbauer 08.07.2015
unglaeubig gucken
 
Zitat von monischnucki

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3pxQ8TOGs9Q

Jährlicher Scheiterhaufen, Verbrennung irischer Flaggen.

Tradition über Einsicht.



Meine Fresse ist das dumm.
11.10.2021 13:39:36  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Herr der Lage

AUP Herr der Lage 16.10.2014
Lewis Goodall, BBC
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1447646930411134978

 
Spent the day filming in the north of England for a piece about care. Labour shortage in the sector getting worse.
One large provider we spoke to has over 500 vacancies of 5000 staff. One local authority tried 21 agencies to find an elderly woman care at home: no-one available. One care home for people with learning disabilities we visited told us they’re relisting vacancy after vacancy after receiving *zero* applications. They’re getting through by asking existing staff to work extra hours, forgo holiday etc but it’s not sustainable. Not least because there comes a point when it’s not safe. This is a workforce already suffering burnout and exhaustion. We’ve spoken to families who are being refused care and smaller care homes on the point of bankruptcy because they can’t find the staff/accept new residents.

Why is there such a shortage? Perfect storm. It's skilled work- not easy to find people with the right qualities. Covid has led to flight from the sector. Brexit means no more easy access to European labour markets. And so much competition for workers means carers can find work in other industries which isn't so taxing for more money.

People (and govt) says the industry should pay more money- some care homes can afford it. But those on local authority funding can only go as far as cash-strapped local authorities will let them and ultimately that's directed by central government. There has been some extra funding from Whitehall but the main "solution" the government has proffered- the NICS rise- won't start to filter through to care (if it ever does) for another three years.
And the risk is that those expensive care homes- for rich people- can afford to buy up what labour is available; local authority homes, which can't, are then left with even bigger problems for those people they need to look after without means.

The problem looks set to get worse after 11th Nov when the government's care home vaccine mandate is introduced. This will require all care home staff (though not as yet those in domiciliary care) to have two doses of vaccine. This is for obvious reasons. But one consequence is that there will be yet more workers lost. At the moment the % of fully vaccinated care home staff is 87.2% as of Oct 7th. By 11th Nov that should go up but it's just an average. In some places it's worse, eg:
Lambeth: 80%
Luton: 79.6%
Manchester: 75.9%
Birmingham: 75.2%
Again, that should go up by November 11th but the government’s own middle point projection suggests 7% of the workforce will not be double jabbed in time- that’s 40,000 new vacancies- on top of the 112,000 which already exist.
One care manager we spoke to today said she'd already written to 30 of her staff saying they wouldn't be able to work for her as of Nov 11th because of the vaccine requirement. She holds little hope of being able to replace them, atop of the 500 vacancies she already has.

This isn't just a tragedy for the families concerned- it's a profound public policy problem. What happens when social care can't take patients? The NHS can't discharge them. What do we have a huge problem with? NHS waiting lists. And it's not even winter yet.

And it's an economic problem too. We've talked a lot about productivity recently and the benefits to it of restricting immigration. But here's the flip side: you know what isn't productive? People having to give up work to look after relatives because care isn't available.

11.10.2021 23:16:19  Zum letzten Beitrag
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[KdM]MrDeath

mrdeath2
nach LKW fahrern also die nächste sau die durchs dorf getrieben wird, wah?

ansonsten frag ich mich da: wie kommt das durch brexit? nichtmal hierzulande sind die jungen die nachkommen noch aus der EU.
madagaskar, columbien und dieses jahr den ersten azubi aus uruguay. so schauts zumindest seit ~5 jahren in einem wohnheim für menschen mit behinderung aus dem ich einiges mitbekomm aus.
12.10.2021 10:22:13  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Abso

AUP Absonoob 20.11.2013
Ich weiß nicht wie es im Divided Kingdom aussieht, aber hierzulande sind viele Kräfte aus Polen und Tschechien (oder anderen EU-Ländern) tätig. Wenn ich Polin in der Pflege in England wäre, würde ich bei Brexit und völliger Unklarheit über die Zukunft meines Aufenthaltsrechts auch die Koffer packen und in ein anderes EU-Land gehen, in dem ich meinen Job machen kann.

Nachwuchs(probleme) sind ein anderes Thema, das sich aber verschärft wenn bereits fertig ausgebildete Kräfte abwandern.
12.10.2021 10:35:39  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Herr der Lage

AUP Herr der Lage 16.10.2014
Dominic Cummings says UK always intended to ditch NI protocol >

 
The UK government always intended to “ditch” the Northern Ireland protocol, Boris Johnson’s former adviser Dominic Cummings has claimed.

In a string of tweets, Cummings said the flawed Brexit deal had been a way to get out of the electoral doldrums and “whack [Jeremy] Corbyn”, and “of course” the government should be allowed to “sometimes break deals… like every other state does”.
...

Cummings’ claims chime with comments made last year by Steve Baker, then chair of the European Research Group of backbench MPs, who indicated that the ERG had been persuaded to vote for the Brexit deal despite their reservations over checks on goods crossing the Irish Sea.
Last May, Baker wrote in the Critic: “He [Cummings] said we should vote for the original withdrawal agreement without reading it, on the basis Michael Gove articulated: we could change it later.




Varadkar warns states over striking deals with Britain ‘until you’re confident they keep promises’ >

 
“Those comments are very alarming because that would indicate that this is a government, an administration, that acted in bad faith and that message needs to be heard around the world,” he told RTÉ’s Morning Ireland.
“If the British government doesn’t honour its agreements, it doesn’t adhere to treaties it signs, that must apply to everyone else too.”

He said the British administration was currently going around the world trying to negotiate new trade agreements.
“Surely the message must go out to all countries around the world that this is a British government that doesn’t necessarily keep its word and doesn’t necessarily honour the agreements it makes.




UK port disruption spreads, posing threat to Christmas

 
UK retailers and logistics companies have warned that the supply chain disruptions at Felixstowe are spreading to other container ports in the country and will exacerbate Christmas supply shortages. ... The backlog at the East Anglian facility has already forced shipping groups, including Maersk and MSC, to divert larger vessels to continental European ports and load UK-bound cargo on to smaller craft so they can access other British ports. ...
“There is definitely going to be shortages at Christmas,” Liddell said, predicting clothes, toys and furniture would be among the worst-hit items. ...

Stores were well supplied at the moment, Grant said, but he advised parents to buy toys now if they knew what their children wanted.
Alan Williams, director of Davies Turner, one of the UK’s largest independent freight forwarders, said “the big message is that people need to shop early”.

However, Oliver Dowden, a cabinet minister and Conservative party co-chair, urged people to do the opposite. “The situation is improving. I’m confident that people will be able to get their toys for Christmas,” he told Sky News. “I would say just buy as you do normally.” One government official said ministers were worried panic buying would exacerbate existing bottlenecks.

[Dieser Beitrag wurde 1 mal editiert; zum letzten Mal von Herr der Lage am 14.10.2021 6:05]
13.10.2021 23:39:38  Zum letzten Beitrag
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[KDO2412]Mr.Jones

[KDO2412]Mr.Jones
Wird Zeit für "The Blitz 2.0 - Raisin Hell over London".

Rosinenbombers zu Weihnachten.
14.10.2021 9:27:13  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Q=- 8-BaLL

-=Q=- 8-BaLL
Schickt man direkt an Leute, die man kennt, oder spendet man besser an ne große Org?
14.10.2021 9:28:17  Zum letzten Beitrag
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[KDO2412]Mr.Jones

[KDO2412]Mr.Jones
verschmitzt lachen
Da die ja keine Pakete mehr zustellen können ohne Fahrer (achja, über Weihnachten haben sie ja die temporären Visa...), würde ich individuell nur zusenden, wenn Du ein privates Kleinflugzeug hast.
14.10.2021 9:30:57  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Jellybaby

Arctic
Frage
14.10.2021 9:33:58  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Q=- 8-BaLL

-=Q=- 8-BaLL


?
14.10.2021 9:36:09  Zum letzten Beitrag
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monischnucki

AUP monischnucki 16.08.2015
Versorgungswaffe 1?
14.10.2021 9:36:43  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Q=- 8-BaLL

-=Q=- 8-BaLL
14.10.2021 9:39:57  Zum letzten Beitrag
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[KDO2412]Mr.Jones

[KDO2412]Mr.Jones
Man könnte ja auch die "Pakete" mit einer Hochdruckpumpe da drüber schaffen?
14.10.2021 9:42:32  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Jehova-3

Arctic
...
 
Zitat von monischnucki

Versorgungswaffel 1?

14.10.2021 9:48:24  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Bombur

AUP Bombur 24.06.2010
 
Zitat von -=Q=- 8-BaLL

Schickt man direkt an Leute, die man kennt, oder spendet man besser an ne große Org?


Was willst Du da spenden? Einen Trucker, einen Metzger oder eine Krankenschwester?
14.10.2021 10:31:27  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Q=- 8-BaLL

-=Q=- 8-BaLL
Rosiiiiiiiinen!
14.10.2021 10:34:25  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Bombur

AUP Bombur 24.06.2010
 
Zitat von [KDO2412]Mr.Jones

Da die ja keine Pakete mehr zustellen können ohne Fahrer (achja, über Weihnachten haben sie ja die temporären Visa...), würde ich individuell nur zusenden, wenn Du ein privates Kleinflugzeug hast.


14.10.2021 10:43:17  Zum letzten Beitrag
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gonzo

AUP gonzo 16.07.2021
 
Zitat von Bombur

 
Zitat von -=Q=- 8-BaLL

Schickt man direkt an Leute, die man kennt, oder spendet man besser an ne große Org?


Was willst Du da spenden? Einen Trucker, einen Metzger oder eine Krankenschwester?



Spenden einfach direkt an mich.

Ernsthafterweise, sie food Banks Könnens vermutlich gebrauchen.

/In other news:
https://amp.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/oct/13/uk-border-force-could-be-given-immunity-over-refugee-deaths?__twitter_impression=true

Waves geruled
[Dieser Beitrag wurde 1 mal editiert; zum letzten Mal von gonzo am 14.10.2021 11:29]
14.10.2021 11:22:34  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Bombur

AUP Bombur 24.06.2010
 
Zitat von gonzo

Spenden einfach direkt an mich.


Trucker, Metzger oder Krankenschwester?
 
Zitat von gonzo

Ernsthafterweise, sie food Banks Könnens vermutlich gebrauchen.


Sicherlich, aber wenn es nur in einem weiteren Container am Hafen vergammelt bringt es ja auch nichts. Es ist ja nicht so, daß es nichts gibt, es gibt nur nicht genug Transportmöglichkeiten.
14.10.2021 11:47:30  Zum letzten Beitrag
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gonzo

AUP gonzo 16.07.2021
 
Zitat von Bombur

 
Zitat von gonzo

Spenden einfach direkt an mich.


Trucker, Metzger oder Krankenschwester?
 
Zitat von gonzo

Ernsthafterweise, sie food Banks Könnens vermutlich gebrauchen.


Sicherlich, aber wenn es nur in einem weiteren Container am Hafen vergammelt bringt es ja auch nichts. Es ist ja nicht so, daß es nichts gibt, es gibt nur nicht genug Transportmöglichkeiten.



Trucker bin ich selbst, Fleisch will ich keine essen, ich nehme dann eine Krankenschwester oder einen Pfleger.
14.10.2021 11:49:29  Zum letzten Beitrag
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The_Demon_Duck_of_Doom

the_demon_duck_of_doom
 
Zitat von gonzo

Fleisch will ich keine essen, ich nehme dann eine Krankenschwester oder einen Pfleger.



Die sind auch aus Fleisch, du Monster!
14.10.2021 11:57:37  Zum letzten Beitrag
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niffeldi

niffeldi
...
P0t spendet für einen Container voller Rosinen und Gonzo holt den mit seinem brummi im Hafen und fährt damit alle Weißenhäuser ab. Mit Weihnachtsmütze.
[Dieser Beitrag wurde 1 mal editiert; zum letzten Mal von niffeldi am 14.10.2021 13:32]
14.10.2021 13:32:09  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Bombur

AUP Bombur 24.06.2010
 
Zitat von niffeldi

P0t spendet für einen Container voller Rosinen und Gonzo holt den mit seinem brummi im Hafen und fährt damit alle Weißenhäuser ab. Mit Weihnachtsmütze.


Du Rassist.
14.10.2021 13:33:09  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Charon=-

Japaner BF
White privilege mal wieder. War so klar!
14.10.2021 13:33:47  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Q=- 8-BaLL

-=Q=- 8-BaLL
 
Zitat von niffeldi

P0t spendet für einen Container voller Rosinen und Gonzo holt den mit seinem brummi im Hafen und fährt damit alle Weißenhäuser ab. Mit Weihnachtsmütze.



Falscher Kontinent.

Rosine, Mr. Biden?
14.10.2021 13:34:42  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Bombur

AUP Bombur 24.06.2010
 
Zitat von -=Q=- 8-BaLL

Falscher Kontinent.

Rosine, Mr. Biden?


Weißes Haus in Europa
[Dieser Beitrag wurde 1 mal editiert; zum letzten Mal von Bombur am 14.10.2021 13:36]
14.10.2021 13:35:48  Zum letzten Beitrag
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niffeldi

niffeldi
missmutig gucken
Hat gedauert. Ich lass das jetzt so.
14.10.2021 13:36:47  Zum letzten Beitrag
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-=Q=- 8-BaLL

-=Q=- 8-BaLL
 
Zitat von Bombur

 
Zitat von -=Q=- 8-BaLL

Falscher Kontinent.

Rosine, Mr. Biden?


Weißes Haus in Europa



Weiß ich.
14.10.2021 13:37:05  Zum letzten Beitrag
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Herr der Lage

AUP Herr der Lage 16.10.2014
Fintan O'Toole: Facing chaos and needing a scapegoat, the Tories seek an endless fight with Europe >

 
The EU’s proposals on the Northern Ireland protocol offered what business leaders wanted, but the prime minister prefers failure and grievance

 
Before Frost gave his speech on Tuesday, he knew full well that the EU was about to put forward a generous, sensible and very helpful set of proposals to deal with the difficulties in the practical implementation of the protocol. These proposals, unveiled on Wednesday, give civic and business leaders in Northern Ireland pretty much everything they have asked for to make the new arrangements work smoothly.

Anticipating this EU move to calm everything down, however, Frost and Johnson chose to pre-empt the solutions by creating a new problem, one they know to be insoluble. They have hyped up an issue that no one in business or trade in Northern Ireland gives a damn about: the role of the European court of justice (ECJ) in any potential disputes about the interpretation of EU law. Deprived of the movement of sausages as a casus belli, they grasped another dubious foodstuff – the red herring.

The role of the ECJ in relation to the protocol is so vital that Frost and Johnson apparently forgot about it for 21 months. Johnson agreed to – and hailed as a triumph – the withdrawal agreement in October 2019. The alleged concern about the ECJ emerged suddenly in the “command paper” published by Frost on 21 July this year. On Thursday, the Irish taoiseach, Micheál Martin, confirmed that Johnson had never once raised it in their discussions about the protocol. Yet we’re supposed to believe that this is a red line, a matter – unlike, say, keeping your word – of the highest principle. The UK government has developed a variant on Groucho Marx: these are our principles and if you don’t agree to fight us on them, we have others that we can provoke you with.
The only reason for dragging the ECJ into the arena now is that it is one issue on which the EU cannot ultimately yield.
...

It is all too obvious that Northern Ireland doesn’t count, except as a pressure point to be squeezed whenever Johnson feels like it. It is being used to try to solve the great political dilemma of Brexit: who do you blame when you’ve killed the scapegoat? The need for the scapegoat is becoming steadily more urgent, hence the political necromancy of revived conflict with the EU.




https://twitter.com/Usherwood/status/1450012501085667332

 
Some thoughts on the UK's approach to the NI Protocol and what that might mean

Short version: UK wants to hold it in unstable situation, to avoid wearing costs of Brexit domestically, but this isn't a long-term strategy

 
UK obviously doesn't like the Protocol, but doesn't have an alternative in mind, but chooses to hold things up in the air. The aim here isn't to 'solve' the problem, but instead to hold the problem in a state of tension and instability.

But why?
Brexit is a negative sum exercise: it's about allocating the economic, political and social costs of withdrawal. As I've noted in the past the Q was always what would happen when people noticed the costs they wear. As I've also noted, Brexit costs fall mechanically much more heavily on the UK than the EU.
...

Multiple upsides of this:
- keeps EU as bogeyman for domestic purposes ('we're trying to fix this, but they're stopping us')
- keeps Brexit alive as stick to beat LAB
- distracts from other stuff (take your pick)
- continues 'working to fulfil will of the people'
It also largely obviates need to create an alternative plan that might replace Protocol, although it does also leave space for someone to come up with something.

So it's all good, right?
Not so much. This approach is not a stable one, either in its use of keeping things in a high state of tension, or in the tools being used.
We've run through most of the practical problems of the Protocol's operationalisation already: the COM proposals last week more than cover those to make it hard to use that line as an on-going one for not negotiating.
Frost's comments on CJEU role were an effort to open a new, more fundamental line of problem that both sides know has no viable solution. That keeps things unstable, but it also introduces the problem of how to proceed: UK can't easily back down on this one, EU won't negotiate on it.

That deadlock raises the chances of escalation to show that this is for real and not a bluff. UK using Art.16? EU re-activating its dispute cases? I leave it to others to sketch out the spiral that ensues.



https://twitter.com/DavidHenigUK/status/1450349757583474690

 
Useful reminder from this morning's playbook on why this government has always previously backed down on threats over Northern Ireland and will probably do so again - the prospect of a trade war with the EU goes down very badly with international investors.

The negotiation that matters with regard to UK-EU relations (in the past, now, and possibly for some time to come) is between sovereignty purists and those in conservative party and wider business community who realise the UK needs the huge market on our doorstep. The sovereignty purists are backed by the media and obviously delivered Number 10 for Boris Johnson. But ultimately their economic views that the UK doesn't need to trade with neighbours are not ones that a government concerned about the economy can let run.
Also why the UK style of negotiation through threats hasn't worked - they aren't particularly credible or painful to the other side. We end up with worse deals which the government pretends are great.

And the US political establishment remains, largely, firmly on the side of Ireland, and of the UK not breaching the Northern Ireland protocol (as well as rebuilding ties with the EU).

[Dieser Beitrag wurde 4 mal editiert; zum letzten Mal von Herr der Lage am 19.10.2021 14:59]
17.10.2021 16:15:01  Zum letzten Beitrag
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[RPD]-Biohazard

Arctic
Wow

Frankreich droht Kanalinsel Jersey mit Stromentzug
Es geht um Fischfragen – und die Nerven liegen blank: Im Brexitdisput hat Frankreich nun radikale Maßnahmen ins Spiel gebracht: Im Notfall werde man der Insel Jersey den Strom abdrehen.

https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/jersey-frankreich-droht-kanalinsel-mit-strom-entzug-a-3593a434-2d71-4ecb-8f8e-af87b6db53d4
20.10.2021 20:25:37  Zum letzten Beitrag
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 Thema: Der Brexit ( Wird das UK die EU verlassen? )
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